{"id":454,"date":"2024-01-13T18:20:20","date_gmt":"2024-01-13T18:20:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/?p=454"},"modified":"2024-01-13T18:20:20","modified_gmt":"2024-01-13T18:20:20","slug":"moodys-turkiyenin-kredi-notunu-yukseltti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/2024\/01\/13\/moodys-turkiyenin-kredi-notunu-yukseltti\/","title":{"rendered":"Moody&#8217;s, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin kredi notunu y\u00fckseltti"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>13 Ocak 2024<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Moody&#8217;s, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin kredi notunu &#8220;B3&#8221; olarak teyit ederken, not g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc &#8220;dura\u011fan&#8221;dan &#8220;pozitif&#8221;e \u00e7evirdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Moody&#8217;s, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin takvim dahilinde de\u011ferlendirmeye gitti. Kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fundan yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamada, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin kredi notunun &#8220;B3&#8221; olarak teyit edildi\u011fi, daha \u00f6nce &#8220;dura\u011fan&#8221; olan not g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn ise &#8220;pozitif&#8221;e y\u00fckseltildi\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A\u00e7\u0131klamada, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn pozitife \u00e7evrilmesinin ana nedeninin &#8220;ekonomi politikas\u0131ndaki belirleyici de\u011fi\u015fiklik, \u00f6zellikle de ortodoks para politikas\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f&#8221; oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Man\u015fet enflasyonun yak\u0131n vadede artmas\u0131 muhtemel olsa da enflasyon dinamiklerinin de\u011fi\u015fmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair i\u015faretler oldu\u011fu vurgulanan a\u00e7\u0131klamada, bunun da para politikas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenilirli\u011fini ve etkinli\u011fini yeniden kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6stergesi oldu\u011fu anlat\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A\u00e7\u0131klamada, parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n ayn\u0131 zamanda T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u0131\u015f dengesizli\u011finin azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 ve T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (TCMB) d\u00f6viz rezervlerinin yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret edilerek, her iki durumun da \u00fclkenin d\u0131\u015f \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltaca\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Para politikas\u0131 nas\u0131l sonu\u00e7lan\u0131r?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00dclkenin d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki azalman\u0131n 2024&#8217;te daha da h\u0131zlanmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi bildirilen a\u00e7\u0131klamada, a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n y\u0131l toplam\u0131nda 40 milyar dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda olmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A\u00e7\u0131klamada, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin kredi notunu etkileyebilecek fakt\u00f6rlere de\u011finilerek, mevcut para politikas\u0131 duru\u015funun yakla\u015fan yerel se\u00e7imler sonras\u0131nda da s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi ile b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yava\u015flamas\u0131, enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015fmesi ve makroekonomik dengesizlerin azalmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin kan\u0131tlar g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi durumunda, \u00fclkenin notunun y\u00fckseltilebilece\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Derecelendirme kurulu\u015funun a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda, pozitif g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u00fclkenin kredi notunun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesinin pek olas\u0131 g\u00f6z\u00fckmedi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Moody&#8217;s, 12 A\u011fustos 2022&#8217;de T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisine ili\u015fkin takvim d\u0131\u015f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmeye gitmi\u015f ve \u00fclkenin kredi notunu &#8220;B3&#8221; olarak g\u00fcncellemi\u015f, not g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc de &#8220;dura\u011fan&#8221;a \u00e7evirmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Daha sonra, derecelendirme kurulu\u015funun takviminde T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin kredi notuna ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirme bulunulmas\u0131 i\u00e7in 16 Haziran ve 15 Aral\u0131k 2023 tarihleri yer alm\u0131\u015f ancak bu g\u00fcnlerde bir g\u00fcncelleme yap\u0131lmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>G\u00fczel bir hatfasonu dilerim. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>13 Ocak 2024 Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Moody&#8217;s, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin kredi notunu &#8220;B3&#8221; olarak teyit ederken, not g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc &#8220;dura\u011fan&#8221;dan &#8220;pozitif&#8221;e \u00e7evirdi.&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":455,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-454","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ozgun-yazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/454","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=454"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/454\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":456,"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/454\/revisions\/456"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/455"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=454"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=454"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=454"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}