26 Ocak 2024<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TCMB Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu (PPK), Ocak ay\u0131 faiz karar\u0131 i\u00e7in d\u00fcn beklenen toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Toplant\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamaya g\u00f6re, haftal\u0131k repo faizi y\u00fczde 42,50’den y\u00fczde 45’e y\u00fckseltildi. Faiz karar\u0131 piyasa beklentileri do\u011frultusunda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Peki faiz oran\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131 sona erecek mi?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Gelin birlikte bakal\u0131m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Uzun s\u00fcredir devam eden parasal s\u0131k\u0131l\u0131k ekonomide etkilerini k\u0131smen g\u00f6stermeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Fiyatlar genel seviyesinde g\u00f6z g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr art\u0131\u015flar yerini s\u00fcre\u00e7 i\u00e7inde sabit bir d\u00f6ng\u00fcye yer yer gerilemeye b\u0131rakt\u0131. Dezenflasyonist s\u00fcre\u00e7 ( Y\u00fcksek enflasyondan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck enflasyona ge\u00e7i\u015f ) i\u00e7in Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n son faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 karar\u0131 sonras\u0131 yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klama, ‘gerekli parasal s\u0131k\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyine ula\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r’, mesaj\u0131n\u0131 okuyacak olursak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Merkez Bankas\u0131 der ki, enflasyon ve fiyatlar genel seviyesi ve piyasa hareketlerine de bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda yak\u0131n zamanda farkl\u0131 bir geli\u015fme olmazsa faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 durumu tekrar olmayacakt\u0131r. Mevcut d\u00fczeyde politika faizinin mevcut seviyesinde devam edece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclmektedir. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Mevcut seviyede devam etme e\u011filimini de yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klaman\u0131n \u015fu b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde bulabiliriz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Kurul, parasal s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n gecikmeli etkilerini de g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurarak, dezenflasyonun tesisi i\u00e7in gerekli parasal s\u0131k\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyine ula\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bu d\u00fczeyin gerekti\u011fi m\u00fcddet\u00e7e s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclece\u011fini de\u011ferlendirmi\u015ftir. Kurul, politika faizinin mevcut seviyesinin ayl\u0131k enflasyonun ana e\u011filiminde belirgin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sa\u011flanana ve enflasyon beklentileri \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen tahmin aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na yak\u0131nsayana kadar s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclece\u011fini de\u011ferlendirmi\u015ftir. Enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc \u00fczerinde belirgin ve kal\u0131c\u0131 riskler olu\u015fmas\u0131 durumunda ise parasal s\u0131k\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irilecektir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00d6zetle, fiyat istikrar\u0131, hiper enflasyon sorunu, piyasa \u015fartlar\u0131n\u0131n normal d\u00fczeye gelmesi ad\u0131na at\u0131lan ad\u0131mlar yava\u015f yava\u015f meyvelerini verecektir. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz d\u00f6nemde anlam verilemeyecek d\u00fczeyde at\u0131lan yanl\u0131\u015f ad\u0131mlar ve \u00e7a\u011f d\u0131\u015f\u0131 ekonomi y\u00f6netimi sonras\u0131 \u015fu s\u0131ralar \u00e7ok daha profesyonel bir disiplinle bir gidi\u015fat oldu\u011fu a\u015fikar. \u00d6yle ki s\u0131rayla Uluslararas\u0131 Derecelendirme Kurulu\u015flar\u0131 \u00dclkemizin Kredi Notunu art\u0131rmasa da art\u0131\u015f sinyalini vermi\u015f, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc dura\u011fandan pozitife \u00e7ekmi\u015ftir. Hatta \u00dclkemizde faaliyet g\u00f6steren baz\u0131 kurumlar\u0131n ve bankalar\u0131n kredi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmlerini de pozitife \u00e7ekmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ekonomiyi y\u00f6neten taraflar\u0131n 2024 y\u0131l sonu i\u00e7in ortaya koyduklar\u0131 %43 enflasyon beklentisi yakalan\u0131r m\u0131 bilinmez, lakin do\u011fru yolda ilerleyi\u015f her zaman takdir edilmelidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Herkese g\u00fczel bir g\u00fcn dilerim.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
26 Ocak 2024 TCMB Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu (PPK), Ocak ay\u0131 faiz karar\u0131 i\u00e7in d\u00fcn beklenen toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Toplant\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":518,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-516","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ozgun-yazilar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/516","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=516"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/516\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":519,"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/516\/revisions\/519"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/518"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=516"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=516"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kayaismail.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=516"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}